RockCreek Daily Market Update

GLOBAL MARKET SNAPSHOT 

Equity Markets: 
Global equities were broadly weaker on Wednesday as the U.S. Senate unanimously passed a bill supporting protesters in Hong Kong, adding another hurdle to an already contentious trade negotiation with China. Reuters reported later in the day that an agreement may not be struck until the new year. The standout today was Argentina (MERVAL +3.6%) where markets rallied following a call between president-elect Alberto Fernandez and IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva during which the incoming president indicated the country will continue to comply with IMF obligations and that he has a sustainable plan to tackle the nation’s debt problem. In the U.S., energy +1.0% outperformed as oil rebounded on more upbeat inventory data. Retail regained some ground as the earnings reports from Target +14.1% and Lowe’s +3.9% contrasted sharply with those of retailers reporting yesterday.

Bond Markets: 
Treasuries strengthened as risk appetite remained tepid on Wednesday. The FOMC minutes did little to move the bond market, largely confirming what we already knew – the FOMC is done cutting rates for now with most officials seeing rates as “well calibrated” following the October cut. The committee does see the case for acting if there is material change to the economic outlook, with that likely to be a cut given the “downside risks to the forecasts for the economy”.

Currency Markets:  
The U.S. dollar index was effectively unchanged with modest moves seen against G10 crosses. Mexican peso was -0.6% the notable loser as Chilean unrest (CLP -1.0%) continues to infect the rest of the region and possible snags in the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement come to light. U.S. organized labor is pushing back on Mexican reforms labor standards required by the deal, threatening the bill’s passage in the Democrat-controlled House.

Commodity Markets:  
The Bloomberg Commodity Index was +0.5%. Oil prices rebounded as official inventory data painted a more upbeat picture. The headline inventory build came in at 1.379 million barrels as compared to yesterday’s API report that projected 5.954 million barrels. Additional datapoints supporting prices was daily exports of petroleum products breaching 3 million barrels and refinery capacity utilization exceeding 90%. 

MACRO OVERVIEW

There were no notable macroeconomic releases on Wednesday.

 

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The information contained herein has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or to participate in any strategy. Nothing contained herein shall be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the past or future performance.   This material represents the views of RockCreek.  This information should not be construed as investment advice. Some of the information may be provided to discuss general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic, market, or political conditions.  Information and opinions are as of the date of this material only and are subject to change without notice.  RockCreek has no obligation to provide any updates or changes to such information. The opinions, forecasts, assumptions, estimates, and commentary contained in this material are based on information provided to RockCreek on both a formal and informal basis.  Further, any such opinions, forecasts, assumptions, estimates, and commentary are made only as of the date of this material, are subject to change at any time without prior notice and cannot be guaranteed as accurate.

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